- RAND declaring war against Germany & Europe!
- Weakening Germany, strengthening the U.S.
- Vulnerabilities in German and EU Economy
- A Controlled Crisis
- Expected Consequences
- Impeachment of Biden is in planning!
- German industrial emigration!
- Wrong conclusions of RAND!
- Connected articles
1. RAND declaring war against Germany & Europe!
We have now a document, which contains more specific and hot targets about the current conflict in Ukraine, which is the practical implementation of the rift between Russia and the EU countries.According to RAND Corporation, the main tool of US power are the idiotic German Green Party rulers, particularly naming Annalena Baerbock & Robert Habeck!
The points of the report are so obvious, that one could assume, it would be fake, more a joke or a propaganda measure of the Russians or some dissenting Germans. Knowing other reports of RAND and the CIA and also the background of US imperial dead end problems, it seems more as a script for a desperate last rescue and survival operation of the imperial complex.
Fake RAND Report on 'Weakening Germany'
Wednesday, September 14, 2022
"A supposedly leaked RAND report about a bizarre U.S. conspiracy to “weaken Germany” is fake.
Genuine RAND research, analysis, and commentary on the war in Ukraine may be found at this page."
Even if it was fake, the content is very conclusive and descriptive of the current status.
The publisher oft the leak is John Mark Dougan.
Shocking Confidential Report Leaked! Now it ALL makes SENSE!
Streamed live on Sep 12, 2022
Here is the content of leak by John Mark Dougan:
https://disk.yandex.com/d/jxD85BQemPfz1A
Quoting from the document:
Leak of RAND report with chapter titled: "Weakening Gremany, strengthening the U.S."
https://disk.yandex.com/d/jxD85BQemPfz1A
Transcript - not copy and paste:
"Weakening Germany, strengthening the U.S.
The present state of the U.S. economy does not suggest that it can function without financial and material support from external sources. The quantitative easing policy,which the Fed has resorted to regularly in recent years, as well as the uncontrolled issue of cash during the 2020 and 2021 Covid lockdowns, have led to a sharp increase in the external debt and an increase in the dollar supply.
The continuing deterioration of the economic situation is highly likely to lead to a loss in the position of the Democratic Party in the Congress and the Senate in the forthcoming elections to be held in November 2022. The impeachment of the President cannot be ruled out under these circumstances, which must be avoided at all costs.
There is an urgent need for resources to flow into the national economy, especially the banking system. Only European countries bound by EU and NATO commitments will be able to provide them without significant military and political costs for us.
The major obstacle to it is growing independence of Germany. Although it still is a country with limited sovereignty, for decades it has been consistently moving toward lifting these limitations and becoming a fully independent state. This movement is slow and cautious, but steady. Extrapolations shows that the ultimate goal can be reached only in several decades. However, if social and economic problems in the United States escalate, the pace could accelerate significantly.
An additional factor contributing to Germany’s economic independence is Brexit. With the withdrawal of the UK from the EU structures, we have lost a meaningful opportunity to influence the negotiation of cross-governmental decisions.
It is fear of our negative response which by and large determines the relatively slow speed of those changes. If one day we abandon Europe, there will be a good chance for Germany and France to get a full political consensus. Then, Italy and other Old Europe countries - primarily the former ECSC members - may join it on certain conditions. Britain, which is currently outside the European Union, will not be able to resist the pressure of the Franco-German duo alone. If implemented, this scenario will eventually turn Europe into not only an economic, but also a political competitor to the United States.
Besides, if the U.S. is for a certain period is engulfed by domestic problems, the Old Europe will be able to more effectively resist the influence of the U.S.-oriented Eastern European countries.
Vulnerabilities in German and EU Economy
An increase in the flow of resources from Europe to U.S. can be expected if Germany begins to experience a controlled economic crisis. The pace of economic development in the EU depends almost without alternative on the state of the German economy. It is Germany that bears the brunt of the expenditure directed towards the poorer EU members.
The current German economic model is based on two pillars. These are unlimited access to cheap Russian energy resources and to cheap French electric power, thanks to the operation of nuclear power plants. The importance of the first factor is considerably higher. Halting Russian supplies can well create a systemic crisis that would be devastating for the German economy and, indirectly, for the entire European Union.
The French energy sector could also soon begin to experience heavy problems. The predictable stop of Russian-controlled nuclear fuel supplies, combined with the unstable situation in the Sahel region, would make French energy sector critically dependent on Australian and Canadian fuel. In connection with the establishment of AUKUS (a trilateral security pact between Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States), it creates new opportunities to exercise pressure. However this issue is beyond the scope of the present report.
A Controlled Crisis
Due to coalition constraints, the German leadership is not in full control of the situation in the country. Thanks to our precise actions, it has been possible to block the commissioning of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, despite the opposition of lobbyists from the steel and chemical industries. However, the dramatic deterioration of the living standards may encourage the leadership to reconsider its policy and return to the idea of European sovereignty and strategic autonomy.
The only feasible way to guarantee Germany's rejection of Russian energy supplies is to involve both sides in the military conflict in Ukraine. Our further actions in this country will inevitably lead to a military response from Russia. Russians will obviously not be able to leave unanswered, The massive Ukrainian army pressure on the unrecognized Donbas republics.
That would make possible to declare Russia an aggressor and apply to it the entire package of sanctions prepared beforehand.
Putin may in turn decide to impose limited counter-sanctions - primarily on Russian energy supplies to Europe. Thus, the damage to the EU countries will be quite comparable to the one to the Russians, and in some countries - primarily in Germany - it will be higher.
The prerequisites for Germany to fall into this trap is the leading role of the green parties and ideology in Europe. The German Greens are strongly dogmatic, if not zealous, movement, which makes it quite easy to make them ignore economic arguments. In this respect, the German Greens somewhat exceed their counterparts in the rest of Europe. Personal features and the lack of professionalism of their leaders - primarily Annalena Bearbock and Robert Habeck - permit to presume that it is next to impossible for them to admin their own mistakes in a timely manner.
Thus, it will be enough to quickly form the media image of Putin's aggressive war to turn the Greens into ardent and hardline supporters of sanctions, a 'party of war'. it will enable the sanctions regime to be introduced without any obstacles. The lack of professionalism of the current leaders will not allow a setback in the future, even when the negative impact of the chosen policy becomes obvious enough. The partners in the German governing coalition will simply have to follow their allies - at least until the load of economic problems outweighs the fear of provoking a government crisis.
However, even when the SPD and the FDP are ready to go against the Greens, the possibility fo the next government to return relations with Russia to normal soon enough will be noticeably limited. Germany's involvement in large supplies of weapons and military equipment to the Ukrainian army will inevitably generate a strong mistrust in Russia, which will make the negotiations process quite lengthy.
If war crimes and Russian aggression against Ukraine are confirmed, the German political leadership will not be able to overcome its EU partners' veto on assistance to Ukraine and reinforced sanctions packages. This will ensure a sufficiently long gap in cooperation between Germany and Russia, which will make large German economic operators uncompetitive.
Expected Consequences
A reduction in Russian energy supplies -ideally, a complete halt of such supplies - would lead to disastrous outcomes for German industry. The need to divert significant amounts of Russian gas for winter heating of residential and public facilities will further exacerbate the shortages. Lockdowns in industrial enterprises will cause shortages of components and spare parts for manufacturing, a breakdown of logistic chains, and, eventually, a domino effect. A complete standstill at the largest in the chemical, metallurgical, and machine-building, plants is likely, while they have virtually no spare capacity to reduce energy consumption. It could lead to the shutting down of continuous-cycle enterprises, which would mean their destruction.
The cummulative losses of the German economy can be estimated only approximately. Even if the restriction of Russian supplies is limited to 2022, its consequences will last for several years, and the total losses could reach 200-300 billion euros. Not only will it deliver a devastating blow to the German economy, but the entire EU economy will inevitably collapse. We are talking not about a decline in economy growth pace, but about a sustained recession and a decline in GDP only in material production by 3-4% per year for the next 5-6 years. Such a fall will inevitably cause panic in the financial markets and may bring them to a collapse.
The euro will inevitably, and most likely irreversibly, fall below the dollar. A sharp fall of euro will consequently case its global sale. It will become a toxic currency, and all countries in the world will rapidly reduce its share in their forex reserves. This gap will primarily filled with dollar and yuan.
Another inevitable consequence of a prolonged economic recession will be a sharp drop in living standards and rising unemployment (up to 200,000 - 400,000 in Germany alone), which will entail the exodus of skilled labor and well-educated young people. There are literally no other destinations fur such migration other than the United States today. A somewhat smaller, but also quite significant flow of migrants can be expected from other EU countries.
The scenario under consideration will this serve to strengthen the national financial condition both indirectly and most directly. In the short term, it will reverse the trend of the looming economic recession and, in addition, consolidate American society by distracting it from immediate economic concerns. This, in turn, will reduce electoral risks.
In the medium term (4-5 years), the cumulative benefits of capital flight, re-oriented logistical flows and reduced competition in major industries may amount to USD 7-9 trillion.
Unfortunately, China is also expected to benefit over the medium term from this emerging scenario. At the same time, Europe's deep political dependence on the U.S. allows us to effectively neutralise possible attempts by individual European states to draw closer to China."
2. Impeachment of Biden is in planning!
Ted Cruz says Joe Biden could be impeached if Republicans take U.S. HouseBY REBEKAH ALLEN JAN. 4, 2022
https://www.texastribune.org/2022/01/04/ted-cruz-joe-biden-impeachment/
"The Republican senator from Texas said Democrats weaponized impeachment with former President Donald Trump, adding, “what’s good for the goose is good for the gander.”"
Biden could face impeachment — US congresswoman
25 Sep, 2022 20:24
- endangered the security of the United States and its institutions of government;
- threatened the integrity of the democratic system;
- interfered with the peaceful transition of power;
- imperiled a coordinate branch of government; and
- demonstrated that he will remain a threat to national security, democracy, and the Constitution if allowed to remain in office.
3. German industrial emigration!
Soaring natural gas prices are prompting European companies to move their manufacturing operations to the US
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/europe-natural-gas-prices-energy-crisis-manufacturing-work-shift-us-2022-9
"European companies, including steel and chemical makers, are shifting operations to the US, aiming for some relief from the jump in regional energy prices after Russia launched its war against Ukraine, The Wall Street Journal reported Wednesday.
Europe this year has been navigating through sharp swings in energy prices and supply-chain problems that threaten to pull the area's economy into recession. The US, meanwhile, is attractive to European companies as energy prices are more stable and the government has signed into law billions of dollars to support renewable energy projects and products as well as funding to boost the US semiconductor industry."
"Luxembourg-based steel maker ArcelorMittal said it would cut production at two German plants following a better-than-expected performance at a Texas facility, the Journal reported. The Texas plant produces hot briquetted iron used in steelmaking. OCI, a chemical company based in Amsterdam, said this month it would expand an ammonia plant in Texas.
Volkswagen and Danish jeweler Pandora announced US expansions earlier this year, and the Journal last week reported Tesla is pausing its plans to make battery cells in Germany as it looks at qualifying for tax credits under the Biden administration's Inflation Reduction Act."
Rocketing energy costs are savaging German industry
By Anna Cooban, CNN Business, Published 11:25 AM EDT, Fri October 7, 2022
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/10/07/energy/german-industry-energy-prices/index.html
"“We might consider this time as the starting point for an accelerated deindustrialization in Germany,” Eric Heymann, a senior economist at the bank, wrote in the report."
"Companies have relied on the steady flow of cheap gas from Russia since the 1990s to fuel their factories. That energy source is now “vanishing,” Zachmann said, pushing businesses to find alternate sources, or move energy-intensive activities to other countries."
"Prysmian has done just that. At the start of last year, Persson moved the gas-guzzling production of cable conductors from German factories to Hungary and the Czech Republic to save money. He has started to buy parts from Turkey, rather than make them in-house, to cut energy consumption.
“[We are] trying to move away from Germany [for energy-intensive products] for the simple reason that it is very hard for us to sustain the production,” he said.
Similar pressures can be seen elsewhere in Europe. Germany’s BASF (BASFY) and Norway’s Yara International (YARIY), two chemicals giants, have slashed their production of ammonia — a key ingredient in fertilizer — on the continent due to high gas prices. Yara International (YARIY)’s European ammonia production is running at just 35% of its capacity, company CEO Svein Tore Holseter, told CNN Business."
"“Energy-intensive branches [of industry] will relocate as energy prices will structurally stay on higher levels. But, in total, we do not expect a full-blown deindustrialization of the economy,” Stefan Kooths, research director at the Kiehl Institute for the World Economy, told CNN Business."
Analysis: U.S. green subsidies heighten fears for German industry
By Andreas Rinke and Sarah Marsh,.November 28, 20228:14 PM GMT
"U.S. subsidies add to threats to German manufacturing base
Signs emerge investments shifting from Germany to United States
Europe seeking exemptions to U.S. law for its manufacturers
Firms call for European industrial policy revamp"
"Building a lithium-ion battery factory in Germany, Europe's top car producer, had seemed like a no-brainer for Northvolt. But a new U.S. law offering hefty subsidies to local manufacturers of green technology has given the company pause for thought.
Chief Executive Peter Carlsson said that under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), Swedish-based Northvolt could get up to 800 million euros ($836 million) in U.S. state aid to build a factory making the batteries used in electric vehicles.
That is roughly four times what the German government is offering, he said, with cheaper energy prices in the United States on top. As a result, the company is considering delaying its plans to build a factory in Heide, northern Germany."
"Other company executives have echoed that sentiment in recent weeks, adding to signs that the $430 billion IRA, signed into U.S. law in August, is starting to lure investments in green technology away from Europe's manufacturing powerhouse.
The act introduces tax credits related to investment in green technology, plus tax breaks for consumers buying an electric vehicle or other green product made in North America.
German carmakers and suppliers, for which the United States is a main export market, are among its biggest victims.
An October survey by the German Chambers of Commerce and Industry (DIHK) showed 39% of companies wanted to increase investment in the United States compared with 32% for Europe."
"Industrial jobs could "disappear from Germany and Europe", the head of the ruling Social Democrats (SPD) Lars Klingbeil told Reuters."
"Europe and the United States, which aim to project a united front in the face of Russia's war on Ukraine, are negotiating possibly reversing parts of the act or seeking exemptions for European companies modelled on those for Mexico and Canada."
4. Wrong conclusions of RAND
🇫🇷 BEST THING THAT CAN HAPPEN TO EUROPE, IS FOR U.S TO FUCK OFF - French historian Emmanuel Todd (not in those words exactly.)https://t.co/VyNKI29CEI
It appears that America's obsessive and strategic goals have been to prevent German-Russian cooperation, from the very beginning - Todd says.
It's a pity he stopped short of specifying just who funded the 2 deadly world wars on the European contingent, to achieve said goals.
What will happen next is that the US will have to withdraw its empire from Europe, Asia and all these regions where they support conflicts...
We will finally live in peace! The best thing that can happen to Europe is the disappearance of the United States [from Europe] - Todd concludes.
— Ignorance, the root and stem of all evil (@ivan_8848) January 14, 2024
5. Connected articles
License of Enkidu Gilgamesh - Sharing is Caring!
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